In the world of cloud computing a lot has changed over the past 12 months, it looks like things won't be slowing down any in 2013. James Staten of Forrester took a look at the state of the cloud computing industry and offered ten predictions for the coming year.
Enterprises’ Cloud Move
The predictions appear in a Forrester blog post and carry some interesting sights, some of which we already saw this week when we looked at the impact cloud computing is having on business and how business is changing the way we think about cloud computing. Staten’s analysis fits in nicely.
The survey found that the idea of enterprises and even SMBs still contemplating a move to the cloud is completely outdated, and that nearly half of all enterprises in Europe will set aside budgets for cloud computing over the next year, with just as many software managers looking at deployment of cloud applications over the same period.
Over the next year, he says, enterprises will stop speculating about the virtues of cloud computing and get down to the dirty business of actually incorporating cloud services and platforms into the enterprises and into formal IT portfolios.
This will entail a change in business cultures and approaches to cloud investments.
The following ten predictions he says, come from Forrester cloud playbook (Forrester's information site on all things cloud — contributors who were asked to offer their opinions. From these opinions, the top ten opinions, or trends, have been identified:
1. Realistic Architecture
Enterprises now have enough cloud savvy to start implementing cloud strategies and deployments without having expectations that are too high or too low of what will be achieved. With IT departments, enterprises will start making architecturally realistic decisions about these deployments.
2. Cloud and Mobile
The cloud and mobile will become one — as all mobile apps will be working through Internet accessed back-end services. These services will not be living in data-centers for fear of breaching firewalls. They will however, fit with cloud-based back-end services that can elastically respond to mobile client engagements. Any SaaS application that does not have a mobile client will have one next year.
Enterprises will have to look beyond SLAs for protection and ensure that applications can protect themselves. The cloud facilitates this by enabling application design and configuration that builds resiliency into apps. Doing this will ultimately save enterprises large chunks of money usually spent on SLA fees.
4. Cloud Price Modeling
In the coming year, enterprises will get realistic about the real cost of cloud computing. All models of cloud computing are not necessarily cheaper and enterprises will start looking to develop the right pricing model that suits them. This does not mean that enterprises will necessarily go for the cheapest model, but that they will go for the model that best suits their needs. Cloud cost monitoring and cost-reporting tools will come into their own as a result.
5. Infrastructure and Operations (I&O)
I&O teams will start getting used to the fact that public cloud development is here to stay and that they will need to engage with developers in this space if they want to ensure that it is done safely, securely and with appropriate oversight. This will also set out the limits as to what type of development is acceptable and what is not for specific enterprises.
6. Back-up and Discovery
Instead of burying data in enterprise silos to try and protect it from disasters, enterprises will finally catch-on to the value of storing data in the cloud.
7. Cloud and Commodity
Enterprises will stop equating cloud with commodity. Cloud services backed by high-end hardware, offering GPUs, SSDs and other non-commodity infrastructure options are becoming common. Next year we will see more of that. Cloud computing will disrupt more and more technology sectors thought to be “high margin.”
8. Cloud and AWS
The Cloud is not Amazon Web Services and this year more and more enterprises will start to realize that, especially when other providers radically cut costs. Microsoft and Google have made significant improvements to their platforms and by the end of 2013 Forrester expects at least three OpenStack clouds to be available.
9. Advanced Virtualization
Enterprises will finally accept that advanced virtualization is a good thing. The static virtual environment can drive workload consolidation. Dynamic virtual environments and on-demand private cloud both have a place in the data-center.
10. Cloud and Developers
Developers will wake up to the fact that development isn't all that different in the cloud. The majority of languages, frameworks and methodologies used in the enterprise are also used in the cloud. What is different is the services orientation — not the coding. There will be no excuses in the future for well-trained developers not to be able to work in both.
There you have it folks — Forrester's cloud predictions for 2013. No doubt by the end of the year there will be more.
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